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RANDWICK

R1 11:50 AM R2 12:25 PM R3 1:00 PM R4 1:35 PM R5 2:10 PM R6 2:45 PM R7 3:20 PM R8 3:55 PM R9 4:55 PM R10 5:20 PM

Race 4

1:35 PM
2400m · 8 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Australian Turf Club ›
🏁 Result
1st SO YOU ARE
2nd FERNAO (IRE) 💡 Saver
3rd AMPLIFY
4th THEBUDGIESMUGLA (NZ) 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — THEBUDGIESMUGLA (NZ) didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — FERNAO (IRE) ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
1
THEBUDGIESMUGLA (NZ) P $1.22
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
5
FERNAO (IRE) W $6.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. THEBUDGIESMUGLA (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 7 $3.00 $1.22 $4.11
2. SO YOU ARE 8 $3.10 $1.24 $4.21
5. FERNAO (IRE) 5 $6.50 $1.75 $6.18
7. AMPLIFY 4 $7.50 $1.95 $6.88
3. SAM HAWKENS (IRE) 3 $7.00 $1.85 $8.14
6. SKY LAB 1 $20.00 $3.80 $18.87
8. MR TADASHI 2 $126.00 $13.00 $47.97
9. MR FABULOUS 6 $151.00 $16.00 $65.13
Favourite record at RANDWICK ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.00) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 31% 78% 32*
2.50–3.49 this race 38% 70% 61
3.50–4.99 34% 62% 61

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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