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SUNSHINE COAST

R1 1:05 PM R2 1:40 PM R3 2:15 PM R4 2:50 PM R5 3:24 PM R6 4:00 PM R7 4:40 PM R8 5:10 PM

Race 4

2:50 PM
1000m · 12 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Sunshine Coast Turf Club ›
🏁 Result
1st IT'S KAOS
2nd MAJOR HOT
3rd IMMINENT APPEAL 💡 Saver
4th PICK THE LOCK ⭐ Best Bet
❌ Unplaced — PICK THE LOCK didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — IMMINENT APPEAL ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
11
PICK THE LOCK W $1.70
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
2
IMMINENT APPEAL P $2.05
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
11. PICK THE LOCK FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.70 $1.08 $2.62
2. IMMINENT APPEAL 11 $7.50 $2.05 $9.23
7. BAD MANNERS 3 $7.50 $2.10 $10.56
3. VESSEY 7 $11.00 $2.65 $12.12
13. IT'S KAOS 13 $17.00 $3.70 $14.09
14. MAJOR HOT 8 $17.00 $3.70 $14.36
1. SWAGGERING (NZ) 9 $16.00 $3.40 $14.54
4. JUNGLE WONDER 10 $34.00 $5.00 $23.07
12. ALARMED 2 $51.00 $6.75 $34.13
17. WHIP 'N NEIGHNEIGH 14 $61.00 $7.00 $43.08
6. FLYING ZULU 19 $101.00 $8.50 $65.30
9. MYSTIC BOOM 4 $126.00 $11.00 $83.95
Favourite record at SUNSHINE COAST ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.70) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 67% 88% 33*
2.00–2.49 38% 68% 50*
2.50–3.49 27% 63% 84
3.50–4.99 26% 61% 54*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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