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GRAFTON

R1 1:20 PM R2 1:55 PM R3 2:35 PM R4 3:10 PM R5 3:45 PM R6 4:20 PM R7 4:55 PM

Race 4

3:10 PM

1000m · 9 runners

🏁 Result

1st DIZZY DEE

2nd MISS TRUMP ⭐ Best Bet

3rd KATE'S TIARA 💡 Saver

4th MIDWEST PRINCESS

〰️ Best Bet placed — MISS TRUMP ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver placed — KATE'S TIARA ran a place

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

MISS TRUMP W $1.55

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

KATE'S TIARA P $1.50

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
10. MISS TRUMP FAV TOP RATED	3	$1.55	$1.03	$2.53
2. KATE'S TIARA	2	$6.00	$1.50	$6.86
1. DIZZY DEE	1	$9.50	$2.10	$10.30
3. PRESTIGE PAK	4	$12.00	$2.40	$11.15
9. MIDWEST PRINCESS	13	$13.00	$2.60	$12.05
6. CHEATING LILIBET	5	$17.00	$3.20	$12.61
7. DEVIOUS MIND	10	$34.00	$4.50	$20.68
4. LAND SPEED	7	$34.00	$4.50	$22.55
5. WESTERN CONQUEROR	11	$101.00	$7.50	$57.69

Favourite record at GRAFTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.55) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
1.50–1.99 this race	60%	88%	25*
2.00–2.49	37%	83%	30*
2.50–3.49	27%	66%	41*
3.50–4.99	21%	45%	29*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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