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GRAFTON

R1 1:20 PM R2 1:55 PM R3 2:35 PM R4 3:10 PM R5 3:45 PM R6 4:20 PM R7 4:55 PM

Race 5

3:45 PM
1600m ยท 10 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st OCCUPATION ๐Ÿ“ Place Pick
2nd STAR OF WINSTON (NZ)
3rd SHE'S A DAME ๐Ÿ’ก Saver
4th SUNSET TRAIL
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” OCCUPATION finished 1st
โœ… Saver placed โ€” SHE'S A DAME ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win โ€” place or pass.
2
OCCUPATION P $1.28
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
6
SHE'S A DAME W $8.50
Saver ยท small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form โ€” a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite โ€” a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. OCCUPATION FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.90 $1.28 $4.05
1. KHARIF 2 $4.60 $1.55 $6.05
7. VOSTOKOVA 12 $6.00 $1.95 $7.93
6. SHE'S A DAME 1 $8.50 $2.45 $8.74
4. SUNSET TRAIL 7 $7.50 $2.30 $8.94
5. PREDICT THE FUTURE 8 $8.00 $2.35 $9.87
3. STAR OF WINSTON (NZ) 6 $19.00 $4.00 $16.23
10. EVONY 3 $26.00 $4.75 $19.99
12. TERMITE 9 $201.00 $15.00 $84.85
11. ECCASDASH 10 $151.00 $14.00 $91.86
Favourite record at GRAFTON โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.90) sits in the 2.50โ€“3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50โ€“1.99 60% 88% 25*
2.00โ€“2.49 37% 83% 30*
2.50โ€“3.49 this race 27% 66% 41*
3.50โ€“4.99 21% 45% 29*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.