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TOWNSVILLE

R1 1:00 PM R2 1:33 PM R3 2:12 PM R4 2:47 PM R5 3:27 PM R6 4:04 PM R7 4:42 PM R8 5:17 PM

Race 4

2:47 PM
1000m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st BRIGINSHAW ⭐ Best Bet
2nd NOTTINGTON PRINCE
3rd VERY GOOD
4th MONDAY CLOSE
✅ Best Bet won — BRIGINSHAW finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
6
BRIGINSHAW W $1.50
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
4
TOUCH BASE P $1.26
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. BRIGINSHAW FAV TOP RATED 10 $1.50 $1.02 $2.30
4. TOUCH BASE 8 $4.80 $1.26 $5.85
5. VERY GOOD 4 $9.50 $1.85 $8.09
11. TARONG 5 $12.00 $2.20 $11.88
2. NOTTINGTON PRINCE 1 $11.00 $2.05 $12.02
7. MONDAY CLOSE 6 $26.00 $3.70 $16.80
8. STABLE INVESTMENT 7 $71.00 $5.75 $29.93
10. RED LIGHT POWER 3 $201.00 $9.50 $97.12
Favourite record at TOWNSVILLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.50) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 48% 83% 29*
2.00–2.49 52% 70% 33*
2.50–3.49 28% 70% 76
3.50–4.99 23% 49% 47*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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