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HAWKESBURY

R1 1:00 PM R2 1:35 PM R3 2:10 PM R4 2:50 PM R5 3:25 PM R6 4:05 PM R7 4:40 PM R8 5:15 PM

Race 1

1:00 PM
1600m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st PHILATELIC 📍 Place Pick
2nd HITCH
3rd DERRY CITY FELIX
4th I AM BRAVE
✅ Place bet — won outright — PHILATELIC finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
1
PHILATELIC W $2.20·P $1.28
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. PHILATELIC FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.20 $1.28 $3.32
3. HITCH 7 $3.00 $1.40 $3.57
2. COSTABIT 2 $5.00 $2.20 $5.97
5. I AM BRAVE 5 $8.00 $3.20 $8.02
4. DERRY CITY FELIX 1 $19.00 $5.50 $14.96
6. ARANESE 6 $51.00 $10.00 $25.30
7. PIEDI VELOCI 8 $126.00 $17.00 $48.21
Favourite record at HAWKESBURY ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.20) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 85% 27*
2.00–2.49 this race 35% 84% 37*
2.50–3.49 25% 70% 53*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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