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Race 6

3:30 PM

1100m · 9 runners

🏁 Result

1st IT'S A YES 💡 Saver

2nd KARREN ⭐ Best Bet

3rd BINE

4th TANGO JEWEL

〰️ Best Bet placed — KARREN ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver won — IT'S A YES finished 1st

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

KARREN W $1.95

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

IT'S A YES P $1.65

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
10. KARREN FAV TOP RATED	4	$1.95	$1.09	$3.04
9. IT'S A YES	10	$6.00	$1.65	$6.91
3. MOONRAKER	9	$7.50	$1.95	$8.22
4. MR ASSERTIVE	7	$10.00	$2.35	$10.10
5. BINE	8	$17.00	$3.40	$15.09
7. FARAWAY DREAM	5	$19.00	$3.75	$15.51
6. EDGES DIAMOND	2	$19.00	$3.80	$15.78
2. TANGO JEWEL	3	$20.00	$3.75	$16.82
1. JUST FOR SHOW	1	$21.00	$3.90	$19.19

Favourite record at GEELONG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
2.00–2.49	39%	64%	28*
2.50–3.49	34%	73%	64
3.50–4.99	24%	65%	34*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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