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GEELONG

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Race 9

5:25 PM
1500m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st TANGANYIKA (NZ)
2nd TOUXLOVE
3rd NEWCOMBE
4th ISLAND BOY 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — ISLAND BOY didn't feature
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
8
ISLAND BOY P $1.30
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
9
CHOCOLATE ROYAL W $11.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. ISLAND BOY FAV TOP RATED 3 $3.00 $1.30 $4.64
6. PARAMOUNT PLUS 2 $4.80 $1.65 $6.17
11. TOUXLOVE 5 $4.80 $1.70 $6.17
9. CHOCOLATE ROYAL 4 $11.00 $2.80 $10.34
1. SACRAMENTAL (NZ) 6 $11.00 $2.80 $10.85
4. JEWEL BAY 7 $12.00 $3.10 $12.07
2. TANGANYIKA (NZ) 10 $16.00 $3.60 $15.77
3. LAUDING (NZ) 9 $19.00 $4.00 $19.19
12. NEWCOMBE 1 $41.00 $6.75 $25.65
7. EDDYSTONE (JPN) 11 $41.00 $6.75 $29.07
Favourite record at GEELONG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.00) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 39% 64% 28*
2.50–3.49 this race 34% 73% 64
3.50–4.99 24% 65% 34*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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