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KEMBLA GRANGE

R1 12:45 PM R2 1:19 PM R3 1:55 PM R4 2:34 PM R5 3:09 PM R6 3:44 PM R7 4:24 PM R8 4:59 PM

Race 1

12:45 PM
1600m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st LEGASELLI ⭐ Best Bet
2nd VAN HOVEN 💡 Saver
3rd VIVA VIVA
4th GOSH ALMIGHTY
✅ Best Bet won — LEGASELLI finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — VAN HOVEN ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
10
LEGASELLI W $1.90
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
4
VAN HOVEN P $1.26
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
10. LEGASELLI FAV TOP RATED 8 $1.90 $1.08 $2.91
4. VAN HOVEN 3 $3.50 $1.26 $4.95
9. OVER THE MOUNTAIN (NZ) 2 $7.00 $1.85 $8.11
8. GRAFOLOGY 4 $15.00 $3.20 $13.43
7. GOSH ALMIGHTY 7 $14.00 $2.90 $13.87
6. VIVA VIVA 1 $26.00 $4.25 $17.05
3. TOUCHING HANS 9 $26.00 $4.20 $19.42
5. NAMBI GHIMA 6 $26.00 $4.25 $19.58
1. LIGHTNING JOEY 10 $151.00 $10.00 $77.34
2. POWERFUL MAJIK 5 $201.00 $12.00 $94.36
Favourite record at KEMBLA GRANGE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.90) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 49% 71% 35*
2.00–2.49 56% 84% 32*
2.50–3.49 39% 63% 57*
3.50–4.99 39% 65% 31*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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