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MORNINGTON

R1 1:30 PM R2 2:00 PM R3 2:30 PM R4 3:00 PM R5 3:30 PM R6 4:00 PM R7 4:30 PM R8 5:00 PM

Race 2

2:00 PM
1500m · 9 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Mornington Racecourse ›
🏁 Result
1st TOP CONTI (NZ) ⭐ Best Bet
2nd VANTAA 💡 Saver
3rd TEMPERED EDGE
4th ARYNA
✅ Best Bet won — TOP CONTI (NZ) finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — VANTAA ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
TOP CONTI (NZ) W $1.65
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
10
VANTAA P $1.08
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. TOP CONTI (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 9 $1.65 $1.02 $2.58
10. VANTAA 11 $2.90 $1.08 $3.55
2. SOCIUM 7 $15.00 $2.25 $13.04
12. VELOCE GRIGIO 5 $34.00 $3.80 $19.62
11. ARYNA 13 $31.00 $3.75 $19.82
3. TEMPERED EDGE 4 $31.00 $3.70 $21.98
7. LADY OF ALSACE 3 $31.00 $3.75 $22.50
13. WELKIN STAR 1 $51.00 $4.60 $28.58
6. I'LLUVYOULONGTIME 6 $81.00 $5.75 $36.63
Favourite record at MORNINGTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 25% 72% 32*
3.50–4.99 24% 52% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.