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BALLARAT

R1 12:55 PM R2 1:30 PM R3 2:00 PM R4 2:30 PM R5 3:00 PM R6 3:30 PM R7 4:00 PM R8 4:30 PM R9 5:00 PM

Race 9

5:00 PM
1500m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st LA BARRITA
2nd TEL AVIV
3rd FAST 'N' INZAINE (NZ)
4th NOTIFIED 💡 Saver
❌ Unplaced — AUTUMN IN GRINZING didn't feature
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
7
AUTUMN IN GRINZING P $1.28
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
6
NOTIFIED W $8.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
7. AUTUMN IN GRINZING FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.90 $1.28 $4.28
5. LA BARRITA 10 $3.30 $1.32 $4.68
6. NOTIFIED 7 $8.50 $2.40 $8.85
3. ALMOST AN ANGEL 6 $7.50 $2.20 $9.23
1. RUSSIAN DUCHESS 8 $8.50 $2.35 $9.58
2. TEL AVIV 3 $14.00 $3.30 $12.54
4. FAST 'N' INZAINE (NZ) 5 $23.00 $4.40 $17.34
10. PEE BEE NOIR 2 $51.00 $6.50 $30.79
8. REGAL VISIONS 1 $51.00 $6.75 $34.95
11. VALDA WARRIOR 11 $61.00 $7.25 $35.11
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.90) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 52% 83% 29*
2.00–2.49 47% 69% 36*
2.50–3.49 this race 35% 66% 88
3.50–4.99 24% 60% 55*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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