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NEWCASTLE

R1 1:00 PM R2 1:35 PM R3 2:10 PM R4 2:50 PM R5 3:25 PM R6 4:05 PM R7 4:40 PM R8 5:20 PM

Race 4

2:50 PM
900m · 12 runners
🏁 Result
1st GENEROUS HARRY 📍 Place Pick
2nd MELANITE
3rd PRIDE TO FOLLOW
4th SPARTUS
✅ Place bet — won outright — GENEROUS HARRY finished 1st
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
1
GENEROUS HARRY P $1.36
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
9
MISS TRENTINO (NZ) W $6.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. GENEROUS HARRY FAV TOP RATED 6 $3.20 $1.36 $5.08
2. SPARTUS 7 $3.80 $1.45 $5.93
9. MISS TRENTINO (NZ) 3 $6.50 $2.20 $7.76
3. MELANITE 8 $9.00 $2.70 $10.29
5. PRIDE TO FOLLOW 13 $11.00 $3.20 $12.09
4. SEA ADMIRAL 1 $15.00 $3.80 $14.46
6. NOT WRITTEN OFF 2 $18.00 $4.25 $14.51
11. STEEL KNIGHT 11 $16.00 $4.00 $15.43
7. WHO GOES THERE 4 $34.00 $6.25 $23.72
8. HELLCIBELL 14 $41.00 $6.75 $26.32
10. ABUSE OF POWER 9 $71.00 $8.50 $42.23
14. DEBUSSY 5 $101.00 $12.00 $52.17
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.20) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 53% 80% 40*
2.00–2.49 42% 79% 48*
2.50–3.49 this race 38% 71% 66
3.50–4.99 28% 50% 40*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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