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NEWCASTLE

R1 1:20 PM R2 1:55 PM R3 2:30 PM R4 3:05 PM R5 3:40 PM R6 4:20 PM R7 4:57 PM

Race 1

1:20 PM
900m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st EXCELLUNA
2nd MONTE SHELL
3rd STROMATOLITE 📍 Place Pick
4th HIDDEN NEWS
✅ Place bet landed — STROMATOLITE ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
6
STROMATOLITE P $1.20
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
3
ELSKA W $7.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. STROMATOLITE FAV TOP RATED 5 $2.60 $1.20 $3.61
8. EXCELLUNA 8 $3.40 $1.30 $4.35
9. MONTE SHELL 9 $6.00 $1.70 $7.58
3. ELSKA 1 $7.50 $2.00 $8.18
5. HIDDEN NEWS 2 $13.00 $2.75 $9.96
1. LONG LIVE 4 $11.00 $2.45 $11.29
7. TORPEDO TUBE 3 $101.00 $8.50 $54.82
4. RIVANA 7 $126.00 $9.50 $61.16
2. DRAGON'S BEAUTY 6 $101.00 $8.00 $64.66
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.60) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 50% 79% 42*
2.00–2.49 40% 80% 50*
2.50–3.49 this race 38% 69% 72
3.50–4.99 29% 51% 41*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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