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NOWRA

R1 1:41 PM R2 2:16 PM R3 2:54 PM R4 3:29 PM R5 4:04 PM R6 4:39 PM R7 5:20 PM

Race 3

2:54 PM

1200m · 10 runners

📍 Our record & guide for Shoalhaven City Turf Club ›

🏁 Result

1st FROSTY BANGERS

2nd SWIFT BANTER 💡 Saver

3rd BOLD BUCKS ⭐ Best Bet

4th THE HARD ROAD

〰️ Best Bet placed — BOLD BUCKS ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver placed — SWIFT BANTER ran a place

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

BOLD BUCKS W $1.70

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

SWIFT BANTER P $1.65

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
9. BOLD BUCKS FAV TOP RATED	4	$1.70	$1.06	$2.78
13. SWIFT BANTER	10	$6.00	$1.65	$5.62
12. PIERIPPER	3	$7.00	$1.85	$8.32
7. SOVIET STORM	14	$12.00	$2.60	$10.55
6. POWER HUNGRY	9	$11.00	$2.45	$12.30
4. FROSTY BANGERS	8	$23.00	$3.90	$18.92
8. THE HARD ROAD	6	$31.00	$4.40	$22.63
3. CINCERITAS	11	$34.00	$4.75	$26.28
5. MR BAZZA	1	$91.00	$7.25	$42.64
1. AERION (NZ)	13	$251.00	$14.00	$128.76

Favourite record at NOWRA ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
2.50–3.49	30%	65%	20*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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