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R1 1:41 PM R2 2:16 PM R3 2:54 PM R4 3:29 PM R5 4:04 PM R6 4:39 PM R7 5:20 PM

Race 5

4:04 PM

1200m · 10 runners

📍 Our record & guide for Shoalhaven City Turf Club ›

🏁 Result

1st IMPERIAL ROYALE

2nd MILLE FEUILLE ⭐ Best Bet

3rd AKATOA 💡 Saver

4th KISS OF GOLD

〰️ Best Bet placed — MILLE FEUILLE ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver placed — AKATOA ran a place

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

MILLE FEUILLE W $1.85

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

AKATOA P $1.24

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
11. MILLE FEUILLE FAV TOP RATED	4	$1.85	$1.06	$2.77
7. AKATOA	14	$3.50	$1.24	$4.57
10. IMPERIAL ROYALE	6	$4.40	$1.32	$5.47
1. KISS OF GOLD	1	$9.00	$2.05	$9.23
2. LOBBYIST	12	$71.00	$6.50	$34.17
8. CLAIRE MICHELLE	5	$71.00	$6.75	$35.49
15. CHOOSY	11	$61.00	$6.50	$36.06
5. SKITING	3	$101.00	$7.25	$56.99
6. TOO HER CORE	15	$151.00	$9.50	$64.77
4. RATIVA	13	$126.00	$8.50	$95.82

Favourite record at NOWRA ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
2.50–3.49	30%	65%	20*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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