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GEELONG

R1 1:25 PM R2 2:00 PM R3 2:35 PM R4 3:10 PM R5 3:45 PM R6 4:20 PM R7 4:55 PM R8 5:30 PM

Race 3

2:35 PM
1425m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st STIPULATION ⭐ Best Bet
2nd FRINGILLA 💡 Saver
3rd ROEBUCK PLANE
4th AUTUMN DEEL
✅ Best Bet won — STIPULATION finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — FRINGILLA ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
12
STIPULATION W $1.60
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
3
FRINGILLA P $1.20
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
12. STIPULATION FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.60 $1.02 $2.54
3. FRINGILLA 2 $3.40 $1.20 $4.67
11. STAR JE TAIME 8 $14.00 $2.50 $10.49
9. ROEBUCK PLANE 5 $14.00 $2.50 $12.24
2. DELAHRA 3 $21.00 $3.30 $16.60
1. AUTUMN DEEL 11 $31.00 $4.00 $20.86
4. GIRL WITH A PEARL 9 $34.00 $4.25 $22.53
5. MISS CAPRI 7 $61.00 $5.75 $35.64
10. SCORCHING BEAUTY 6 $101.00 $7.25 $46.72
8. RAISONIC 12 $201.00 $11.00 $73.53
Favourite record at GEELONG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.60) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 55% 85% 20*
2.00–2.49 37% 63% 30*
2.50–3.49 35% 74% 66
3.50–4.99 24% 65% 34*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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