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GEELONG

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Race 4

3:10 PM

1325m · 10 runners

🏁 Result

1st DISCOVER LUPINO

2nd CONQUER THE WORLD ⭐ Best Bet

3rd SILKY SETH (NZ)

4th TANABATA

〰️ Best Bet placed — CONQUER THE WORLD ran a place (win bet missed)

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

CONQUER THE WORLD W $1.75

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

WHITEBAIT (NZ) P $1.22

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
9. CONQUER THE WORLD FAV TOP RATED	14	$1.75	$1.04	$2.77
11. WHITEBAIT (NZ)	8	$3.40	$1.22	$4.48
2. DISCOVER LUPINO	9	$13.00	$2.40	$10.29
13. TANABATA	4	$15.00	$2.70	$10.93
5. SILKY SETH (NZ)	7	$13.00	$2.45	$11.42
6. SIRVALDANE	5	$17.00	$3.00	$15.85
4. IRISH MASTER (NZ)	6	$71.00	$6.50	$37.50
3. EL FERDINANDO	12	$126.00	$8.00	$52.34
1. BEL RUNNA	1	$126.00	$7.50	$56.29
14. COLDSTREAM	10	$201.00	$12.00	$75.11

Favourite record at GEELONG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.75) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
1.50–1.99 this race	55%	85%	20*
2.00–2.49	37%	63%	30*
2.50–3.49	35%	74%	66
3.50–4.99	24%	65%	34*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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