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GEELONG

R1 1:25 PM R2 2:00 PM R3 2:35 PM R4 3:10 PM R5 3:45 PM R6 4:20 PM R7 4:55 PM R8 5:30 PM

Race 7

4:55 PM
1525m ยท 12 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st JUST DESSERTS โญ Best Bet
2nd STAY HUMBLE ๐Ÿ’ก Saver
3rd SUPERSTOCK (NZ)
4th THE MANSMAN (NZ)
โœ… Best Bet won โ€” JUST DESSERTS finished 1st
โœ… Saver placed โ€” STAY HUMBLE ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
JUST DESSERTS W $1.55
win โญ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite โ€” market and model in agreement.
2
STAY HUMBLE P $1.60
Saver ยท place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. JUST DESSERTS FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.55 $1.05 $2.54
2. STAY HUMBLE 5 $5.50 $1.60 $7.10
3. MICKIDABEEL 12 $12.00 $2.70 $12.38
4. ROGUE WARRIOR 8 $18.00 $3.60 $15.02
10. SARAPO (GB) 13 $16.00 $3.30 $15.38
7. LUNAR FORCE 2 $17.00 $3.50 $16.78
6. SUPERSTOCK (NZ) 10 $18.00 $3.70 $17.62
5. SHE'S PRETTY RICH 11 $34.00 $5.00 $24.80
11. KING CAMELOT 9 $41.00 $5.75 $26.43
8. OCTANE REIGN 6 $61.00 $7.00 $35.96
12. THE MANSMAN (NZ) 7 $71.00 $7.25 $46.63
13. GOLD RELAY 3 $251.00 $16.00 $102.13
Favourite record at GEELONG โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.55) sits in the 1.50โ€“1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50โ€“1.99 this race 55% 85% 20*
2.00โ€“2.49 37% 63% 30*
2.50โ€“3.49 35% 74% 66
3.50โ€“4.99 24% 65% 34*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.