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WARWICK FARM

R1 1:50 PM R2 2:25 PM R3 3:00 PM R4 3:35 PM R5 4:10 PM R6 4:45 PM R7 5:20 PM

Race 4

3:35 PM
1600m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st SAMARELLE (NZ) 📍 Place Pick
2nd STORM SEASON
3rd PIER PRESSURE
4th BURN THE SKY
✅ Place bet — won outright — SAMARELLE (NZ) finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
7
SAMARELLE (NZ) P $1.24
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
9
SNEAKY CHOICE W $7.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
7. SAMARELLE (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 9 $2.75 $1.24 $4.13
4. STORM SEASON 4 $3.90 $1.32 $5.25
9. SNEAKY CHOICE 7 $7.00 $2.00 $7.13
3. LONG LEGS 8 $6.50 $1.85 $8.27
5. BURN THE SKY 3 $8.50 $2.30 $8.29
1. PIER PRESSURE 1 $9.00 $2.30 $8.97
2. CANNY QUEEN (NZ) 5 $26.00 $4.25 $18.24
8. SUNCHYME 2 $126.00 $10.00 $51.55
Favourite record at WARWICK FARM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.75) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 48% 95% 21*
2.00–2.49 54% 81% 26*
2.50–3.49 this race 39% 66% 44*
3.50–4.99 14% 48% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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