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CRANBOURNE

R1 5:45 PM R2 6:15 PM R3 6:45 PM R4 7:15 PM R5 7:45 PM R6 8:15 PM R7 8:45 PM R8 9:15 PM

Race 4

7:15 PM
2025m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st PARIAH PEARL
2nd OCEAN BAY (NZ)
3rd COVERT THINKING 📍 Place Pick
4th WOLFESS (NZ)
✅ Place bet landed — COVERT THINKING ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
3
COVERT THINKING P $1.50
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
6
REALIKA W $7.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model and market disagree. Our top-rated runner isn't the market favourite — we rate a different runner ahead of it. A genuine difference of opinion, so tread carefully.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. COVERT THINKING TOP RATED 4 $2.90 $1.50 $3.98
1. OCEAN BAY (NZ) FAV 7 $2.75 $1.40 $4.05
6. REALIKA 5 $7.00 $3.00 $7.20
5. PARIAH PEARL 2 $8.00 $3.30 $8.44
4. THE DEVIL IN HER 6 $8.00 $3.30 $8.78
7. WOLFESS (NZ) 8 $11.00 $4.20 $10.62
8. SHUBAEL 3 $51.00 $12.00 $27.57
Favourite record at CRANBOURNE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.75) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 48% 84% 31*
2.00–2.49 27% 73% 33*
2.50–3.49 this race 41% 70% 54*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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