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LAUNCESTON

R1 5:34 PM R2 6:00 PM R3 6:30 PM R4 7:00 PM R5 7:30 PM R6 8:00 PM R7 8:30 PM R8 9:00 PM R9 9:30 PM

Race 4

7:00 PM
1420m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st THISISMYTURF
2nd SNOWDONIA 💡 Saver
3rd KAKIA
4th KIREINA MARUBRAH
❌ Unplaced — WHO'S IN DEV didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — SNOWDONIA ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
3
WHO'S IN DEV W $1.95
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
7
SNOWDONIA P $1.65
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. WHO'S IN DEV FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.95 $1.09 $3.03
7. SNOWDONIA 3 $5.50 $1.65 $6.75
1. KAKIA 2 $8.00 $2.10 $8.55
4. KIREINA MARUBRAH 6 $8.00 $2.10 $9.21
8. THISISMYTURF 4 $12.00 $2.75 $12.50
6. GEEGEE STRAWBERRY 8 $14.00 $3.20 $13.07
2. THE SPIRIT OF ZERO 5 $14.00 $3.10 $14.39
9. WITHIN SIGHT 7 $31.00 $4.75 $21.29
10. RAPIDS AHEAD 10 $91.00 $8.00 $42.02
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.95) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 40% 80% 20*
2.00–2.49 29% 83% 24*
2.50–3.49 36% 69% 45*
3.50–4.99 13% 52% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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