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LAUNCESTON

R1 5:34 PM R2 6:00 PM R3 6:30 PM R4 7:00 PM R5 7:30 PM R6 8:00 PM R7 8:30 PM R8 9:00 PM R9 9:30 PM

Race 9

9:30 PM
2150m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st NATIVE CLAN
2nd MERLIN BEACH (NZ)
3rd HAPPY CLAN
4th JOHNNIE PINCH 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — JOHNNIE PINCH didn't feature
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
3
JOHNNIE PINCH W $2.35·P $1.32
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. JOHNNIE PINCH FAV TOP RATED 2 $2.35 $1.32 $3.54
2. MERLIN BEACH (NZ) 5 $3.80 $1.80 $4.75
5. NATIVE CLAN 4 $6.00 $2.65 $6.03
1. HAPPY CLAN 3 $6.50 $2.70 $7.53
4. AL MAXIMUS 6 $11.00 $4.00 $9.93
7. SUGOI LEGEND 1 $23.00 $6.50 $18.42
6. ALPINE TROUT 7 $26.00 $7.00 $18.64
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.35) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 40% 80% 20*
2.00–2.49 this race 29% 83% 24*
2.50–3.49 36% 69% 45*
3.50–4.99 13% 52% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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