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MORNINGTON

R1 12:10 PM R2 12:45 PM R3 1:20 PM R4 1:55 PM R5 2:30 PM R6 3:05 PM R7 3:45 PM R8 4:25 PM

Race 7

3:45 PM

1200m · 7 runners

📍 Our record & guide for Mornington Racecourse ›

🏁 Result

1st PER SEMPRE (NZ)

2nd CONCORD CONNIE ⭐ Best Bet

3rd TERILEE

4th SUN SETTING 💡 Saver

〰️ Best Bet placed — CONCORD CONNIE ran a place (win bet missed)

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

CONCORD CONNIE W $1.32

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

SUN SETTING P $1.22

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
3. CONCORD CONNIE FAV TOP RATED	8	$1.32	$1.01	$1.97
11. SUN SETTING	7	$6.50	$1.22	$6.63
14. KIPPIS	10	$13.00	$2.15	$10.80
13. JEWEL OF HEAVEN	9	$14.00	$2.30	$11.37
1. TERILEE	14	$26.00	$3.00	$16.27
5. PER SEMPRE (NZ)	2	$31.00	$3.20	$18.01
15. EGERTON	6	$41.00	$3.50	$22.60

Favourite record at MORNINGTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
2.50–3.49	25%	72%	32*
3.50–4.99	24%	52%	21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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