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ROSEHILL

R1 11:55 AM R2 12:30 PM R3 1:05 PM R4 1:40 PM R5 2:15 PM R6 2:50 PM R7 3:25 PM R8 4:05 PM R9 4:45 PM R10 5:25 PM

Race 5

2:15 PM
1400m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st DECORUM ⭐ Best Bet
2nd CROSS TASMAN (NZ) 💡 Saver
3rd RUINATION
4th BELLA KHADIJAH
✅ Best Bet won — DECORUM finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — CROSS TASMAN (NZ) ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
6
DECORUM W $1.85
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
3
CROSS TASMAN (NZ) P $1.32
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. DECORUM FAV TOP RATED 3 $1.85 $1.07 $2.85
3. CROSS TASMAN (NZ) 7 $4.00 $1.32 $5.06
11. RUINATION 2 $7.50 $1.90 $7.44
1. MR CHAPLIN (GB) 1 $16.00 $3.25 $14.38
12. PILLOW FIGHT 10 $17.00 $3.40 $14.53
8. SILVANITO 9 $26.00 $4.25 $17.28
14. ALABAMA STATE 11 $34.00 $5.00 $23.37
13. BELLA KHADIJAH 5 $71.00 $8.50 $36.70
9. WORLD ALLIANCE 6 $71.00 $8.00 $38.13
10. KARINSKA 8 $61.00 $7.25 $40.21
Favourite record at ROSEHILL ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.85) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 55% 79% 29*
2.00–2.49 50% 90% 30*
2.50–3.49 34% 66% 64
3.50–4.99 10% 54% 41*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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