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GRAFTON

R1 1:00 PM R2 1:35 PM R3 2:10 PM R4 2:45 PM R5 3:20 PM R6 3:55 PM R7 4:35 PM R8 5:10 PM

Race 4

2:45 PM
1106m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st HUMPHREE BEAR
2nd THE LUPERCAL
3rd GERETY
4th DUNE AND DUSTED
❌ Unplaced — HIGHLAND FORCE didn't feature
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
5
HIGHLAND FORCE P $1.26
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
8
KATE'S TIARA W $5.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. HIGHLAND FORCE FAV TOP RATED 5 $2.50 $1.26 $4.25
8. KATE'S TIARA 1 $5.50 $1.85 $6.63
7. HUMPHREE BEAR 2 $5.00 $1.75 $6.63
6. THE LUPERCAL 4 $6.50 $2.10 $7.64
3. PATRIOTICINTENTION 3 $8.50 $2.40 $9.28
4. DIZZY DEE 10 $23.00 $4.40 $18.29
2. GEEGEE JET BY 9 $18.00 $3.90 $18.50
1. DUNE AND DUSTED 6 $23.00 $4.40 $20.14
10. GERETY 8 $34.00 $5.75 $23.52
9. IOBJECT 7 $81.00 $8.50 $42.61
Favourite record at GRAFTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.50) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 59% 85% 27*
2.00–2.49 39% 84% 31*
2.50–3.49 this race 27% 60% 52*
3.50–4.99 20% 47% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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