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LAUNCESTON

R1 6:30 PM R2 7:00 PM R3 7:30 PM R4 8:00 PM R5 8:30 PM R6 9:00 PM R7 9:30 PM R8 10:00 PM

Race 5

8:30 PM
1400m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st WOLF JUNIOR ⭐ Best Bet
2nd STOLLAWAY NED
3rd I'M A MACHINE
4th FUEL ON THE FIRE 💡 Saver
✅ Best Bet won — WOLF JUNIOR finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
3
WOLF JUNIOR W $1.90
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
1
FUEL ON THE FIRE P $1.22
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. WOLF JUNIOR FAV TOP RATED 3 $1.90 $1.05 $3.08
1. FUEL ON THE FIRE 6 $3.20 $1.22 $4.63
2. STOLLAWAY NED 9 $11.00 $2.30 $10.45
7. BELLA CHINKARA 7 $13.00 $2.65 $10.96
4. SIR WILLIAM 4 $13.00 $2.60 $12.11
8. SOUTH GEORGIA 8 $19.00 $3.50 $13.91
5. I'M A MACHINE 1 $20.00 $3.50 $16.56
6. OUR PEPMENARTIE 2 $23.00 $3.80 $17.40
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.90) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 43% 83% 23*
2.00–2.49 32% 84% 25*
2.50–3.49 36% 68% 47*
3.50–4.99 16% 56% 25*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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