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DARWIN

R1 2:54 PM R2 3:29 PM R3 4:04 PM R4 4:39 PM R5 5:19 PM

Race 1

2:54 PM
1300m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st PRESS EXPRESS
2nd TEE GALLERIA
3rd MERIMBULA
4th I'M A DREAMER 💡 Saver
❌ Unplaced — KESSLER didn't feature
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
1
KESSLER P $1.20
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
5
I'M A DREAMER W $6.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. KESSLER FAV TOP RATED 7 $2.50 $1.20 $4.01
3. MERIMBULA 1 $3.00 $1.26 $4.59
5. I'M A DREAMER 2 $6.00 $1.75 $6.71
6. PRESS EXPRESS 8 $8.50 $2.30 $8.69
4. TEE GALLERIA 9 $9.50 $2.40 $9.39
2. ITWASONLYAKISS (IRE) 5 $15.00 $3.25 $12.86
9. NEW ENTERPRISE 4 $26.00 $4.40 $20.75
7. MY LUNA 3 $101.00 $8.50 $53.75
8. DANGER MAN 6 $126.00 $10.00 $57.18
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.50) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 60% 87% 30*
2.00–2.49 43% 78% 51*
2.50–3.49 this race 35% 66% 65
3.50–4.99 27% 61% 33*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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