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NEWCASTLE

R1 1:34 PM R2 2:09 PM R3 2:44 PM R4 3:19 PM R5 3:55 PM R6 4:29 PM R7 5:09 PM

Race 4

3:19 PM
900m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st THORSTEN
2nd CAPDIVA
3rd LADY TALEA
4th WILD COURAGE 💡 Saver
❌ Unplaced — INTENSE DREAM didn't feature
Dominant favourite Strong
Trust the favourite — market and model agree. Win-bet race.
6
INTENSE DREAM W $1.80
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
9
WILD COURAGE P $1.40
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. INTENSE DREAM FAV TOP RATED 7 $1.80 $1.16 $2.39
9. WILD COURAGE 3 $3.40 $1.40 $4.45
4. CAPDIVA 1 $7.50 $2.70 $8.43
2. THORSTEN 4 $10.00 $3.40 $8.49
7. LADY TALEA 6 $17.00 $4.60 $13.30
1. BUSY BEE 2 $26.00 $6.25 $21.73
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.80) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 51% 78% 41*
2.00–2.49 40% 80% 50*
2.50–3.49 38% 71% 69
3.50–4.99 29% 51% 41*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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