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NEWCASTLE

R1 1:34 PM R2 2:09 PM R3 2:44 PM R4 3:19 PM R5 3:55 PM R6 4:29 PM R7 5:09 PM

Race 5

3:55 PM
900m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st EMALYN
2nd VALILEE 📍 Place Pick
3rd STROLLIN' BY
4th KARKADAAN 💡 Saver
✅ Place bet landed — VALILEE ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
1
VALILEE P $1.22
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
9
KARKADAAN W $7.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. VALILEE FAV TOP RATED 6 $2.75 $1.22 $4.10
5. EMALYN 9 $3.10 $1.28 $4.51
9. KARKADAAN 3 $7.50 $2.10 $7.54
8. AEGIPAN 4 $8.50 $2.30 $8.99
10. STROLLIN' BY 1 $12.00 $2.80 $11.91
4. MRS FLANDERS 10 $12.00 $2.80 $12.66
7. NO STATEMENT 2 $16.00 $3.50 $14.89
3. HE'S COOL 7 $31.00 $4.80 $21.01
11. PAJI BRIWAY 5 $126.00 $11.00 $76.69
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.75) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 51% 78% 41*
2.00–2.49 40% 80% 50*
2.50–3.49 this race 38% 71% 69
3.50–4.99 29% 51% 41*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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