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NORTHAM

R1 4:07 PM R2 4:50 PM R3 5:20 PM R4 5:50 PM R5 6:20 PM R6 6:50 PM R7 7:30 PM

Race 1

4:07 PM

1600m · 9 runners

📍 Our record & guide for Northam Racecourse ›

🏁 Result

1st FORGOT THE ROCK

2nd POPPY'S ROSES ⭐ Best Bet

3rd FARADIO 💡 Saver

4th ADMIRE BELLE

〰️ Best Bet placed — POPPY'S ROSES ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver placed — FARADIO ran a place

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

POPPY'S ROSES W $1.75

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

FARADIO P $1.28

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
5. POPPY'S ROSES FAV TOP RATED	8	$1.75	$1.04	$2.62
1. FARADIO	2	$4.00	$1.28	$5.00
2. THANGOO	6	$7.50	$1.75	$8.27
9. FORGOT THE ROCK	1	$9.50	$2.05	$9.27
8. ADMIRE BELLE	5	$10.00	$2.15	$9.48
3. INFINITE STORM	9	$61.00	$6.25	$34.58
7. SESH TIME	4	$126.00	$8.50	$47.77
6. SHE'SATROOPER	7	$126.00	$8.50	$53.48
4. TAGOLORIAN	3	$101.00	$7.25	$61.94

Favourite record at NORTHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
2.00–2.49	35%	75%	20*
2.50–3.49	26%	63%	35*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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