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BALLARAT

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Race 4

1:30 PM
1000m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st SKJALDMO ⭐ Best Bet
2nd REAL HEIR
3rd MERITORIOUS 💡 Saver
4th THE DESTROYER
✅ Best Bet won — SKJALDMO finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — MERITORIOUS ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
5
SKJALDMO W $1.95
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
7
MERITORIOUS P $1.45
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. SKJALDMO FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.95 $1.07 $3.08
7. MERITORIOUS 5 $5.50 $1.45 $6.17
11. THE DESTROYER 6 $6.00 $1.55 $6.44
10. ENGULF 3 $7.50 $1.85 $6.68
2. REAL HEIR 9 $9.50 $2.20 $11.43
8. QUARTER MILE 1 $17.00 $3.20 $13.58
1. EIDFJORD 11 $91.00 $7.25 $39.13
4. CHASING ATLANTIS 7 $151.00 $10.00 $46.52
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.95) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 56% 84% 32*
2.00–2.49 44% 63% 41*
2.50–3.49 36% 65% 92
3.50–4.99 23% 58% 60

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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