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TOOWOOMBA

R1 5:40 PM R2 6:13 PM R3 6:45 PM R4 7:23 PM R5 7:59 PM R6 8:32 PM

Race 1

5:40 PM
1110m · 9 runners
📍 Our record & guide for The Toowoomba Turf Club ›
🏁 Result
1st SORT CHA MESS ⭐ Best Bet
2nd CAUSE SHE CAN
3rd RUTHVEN RUSH
4th DEEP TIARA
✅ Best Bet won — SORT CHA MESS finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
SORT CHA MESS W $1.95
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
3
BETTER SWEET P $1.65
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. SORT CHA MESS FAV TOP RATED 12 $1.95 $1.08 $3.69
3. BETTER SWEET 1 $6.00 $1.65 $6.56
4. DEEP TIARA 2 $7.50 $1.95 $7.64
7. CAUSE SHE CAN 3 $9.00 $2.25 $7.99
9. SHAHAR 5 $11.00 $2.45 $9.16
5. BRAVE HORATIUS 8 $12.00 $2.65 $14.55
2. RUTHVEN RUSH 9 $18.00 $3.50 $14.74
11. WORLDY SPIRIT 11 $51.00 $6.25 $19.26
12. KOGA NINJA 4 $151.00 $12.00 $43.83
Favourite record at TOOWOOMBA ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.95) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 53% 82% 38*
2.00–2.49 25% 69% 52*
2.50–3.49 28% 60% 89
3.50–4.99 23% 49% 39*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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