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NEWCASTLE

R1 12:20 PM R2 12:55 PM R3 1:30 PM R4 2:05 PM R5 2:40 PM R6 3:34 PM R7 4:20 PM R8 4:54 PM

Race 1

12:20 PM
1250m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st HOWZAT HARRY
2nd ZOUSARI
3rd ARTHUR PARK
4th AREESEA 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — AREESEA didn't feature
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
6
AREESEA P $1.34
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
1
PERSONA NON GRATA W $10.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. AREESEA FAV TOP RATED 5 $3.30 $1.34 $4.13
10. HOWZAT HARRY 4 $3.90 $1.40 $4.64
2. ARTHUR PARK 2 $6.50 $2.00 $8.86
3. CADMEAN 9 $6.00 $1.90 $8.87
1. PERSONA NON GRATA 6 $10.00 $2.65 $10.56
8. ZOUSARI 7 $10.00 $2.70 $12.05
4. CLOSE COMBAT 8 $17.00 $3.80 $16.20
5. OAKFIELD BISMARCK 1 $23.00 $4.40 $16.63
11. TIGHTROPE WALKER 3 $126.00 $13.00 $57.89
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.30) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 50% 80% 44*
2.00–2.49 41% 80% 51*
2.50–3.49 this race 36% 68% 75
3.50–4.99 29% 52% 42*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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