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NEWCASTLE

R1 12:20 PM R2 12:55 PM R3 1:30 PM R4 2:05 PM R5 2:40 PM R6 3:34 PM R7 4:20 PM R8 4:54 PM

Race 4

2:05 PM
900m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st PRECIOUS GIRL
2nd EMALYN ⭐ Best Bet
3rd ALABAMA HAMMER
4th WAVETON
〰️ Best Bet placed — EMALYN ran a place (win bet missed)
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
EMALYN W $1.40
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
1
STRATAFY P $1.34
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. EMALYN FAV TOP RATED 6 $1.40 $1.02 $2.44
1. STRATAFY 3 $6.00 $1.34 $5.92
4. PRECIOUS GIRL 4 $7.00 $1.40 $7.61
3. ALABAMA HAMMER 8 $26.00 $3.50 $13.32
7. WAVETON 2 $34.00 $4.00 $18.72
6. BETHSHEBA 11 $41.00 $4.40 $20.00
5. NO STATEMENT 9 $41.00 $4.40 $21.25
11. MR TRACKSIDE 5 $41.00 $4.50 $21.53
8. BARSANDBI 1 $101.00 $6.75 $58.25
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 50% 80% 44*
2.00–2.49 41% 80% 51*
2.50–3.49 36% 68% 75
3.50–4.99 29% 52% 42*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.