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MUSWELLBROOK

R1 12:50 PM R2 1:25 PM R3 2:05 PM R4 2:40 PM R5 3:15 PM R6 3:50 PM R7 4:30 PM

Race 3

2:05 PM
1450m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st CRIME OF PASSION ⭐ Best Bet
2nd HETA
3rd 1,7
✅ Best Bet won — CRIME OF PASSION finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
3
CRIME OF PASSION W $1.60
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
1
SUTTON STORM P $1.20
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. CRIME OF PASSION FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.60 $1.02 $2.63
1. SUTTON STORM 6 $3.50 $1.20 $4.35
4. INTERRO 4 $7.00 $1.50 $7.81
5. OLE MISS 7 $19.00 $3.10 $13.47
7. PEPPERINA 5 $23.00 $3.50 $18.49
8. ROSIE I AM 8 $51.00 $5.50 $22.95
2. HETA 10 $31.00 $4.00 $24.25
9. PURPLE PRINCE 3 $101.00 $7.25 $35.43
6. GHAYOOR 2 $91.00 $6.75 $48.92
Favourite record at MUSWELLBROOK ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.60) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 70% 85% 20*
2.00–2.49 52% 80% 25*
2.50–3.49 40% 67% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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