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CRANBOURNE

R1 5:15 PM R2 5:45 PM R3 6:15 PM R4 6:45 PM R5 7:15 PM R6 7:45 PM R7 8:15 PM R8 8:45 PM

Race 3

6:15 PM
1400m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st BAJARIA
2nd AUTUMN SLIDE (NZ)
3rd ESCARPA
4th KARREN ⭐ Best Bet
❌ Unplaced — KARREN didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
5
KARREN W $1.85
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
6
CARRIEDO P $1.34
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. KARREN FAV TOP RATED 6 $1.85 $1.06 $2.97
10. BAJARIA 1 $4.80 $1.38 $5.42
6. CARRIEDO 3 $4.40 $1.34 $5.68
9. SHYSTAR 8 $18.00 $3.40 $13.58
2. AUTUMN SLIDE (NZ) 2 $14.00 $2.75 $13.90
4. ESCARPA 11 $20.00 $3.60 $16.02
3. LATHLAIN 9 $26.00 $4.20 $19.22
7. TANGO JEWEL 7 $126.00 $9.00 $41.83
11. BON FETE 4 $126.00 $9.50 $52.76
Favourite record at CRANBOURNE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.85) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 51% 84% 37*
2.00–2.49 28% 70% 40*
2.50–3.49 42% 69% 62
3.50–4.99 23% 36% 22*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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