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CRANBOURNE

R1 5:15 PM R2 5:45 PM R3 6:15 PM R4 6:45 PM R5 7:15 PM R6 7:45 PM R7 8:15 PM R8 8:45 PM

Race 7

8:15 PM
1200m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st ESMAHLI 📍 Place Pick
2nd NATION STATE
3rd SUMO SANDY 💡 Saver
4th ONAVUITTON
✅ Place bet — won outright — ESMAHLI finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — SUMO SANDY ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
1
ESMAHLI P $1.26
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
11
SUMO SANDY W $6.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. ESMAHLI FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.75 $1.26 $4.26
4. NATION STATE 1 $4.80 $1.60 $6.86
11. SUMO SANDY 10 $6.00 $1.90 $7.89
2. CHARMING NIC 2 $6.00 $1.85 $8.14
8. INSAIN HARRY 4 $9.50 $2.50 $8.42
9. ONAVUITTON 9 $8.00 $2.35 $8.82
10. WARRIOR WITHIN 6 $31.00 $5.25 $18.08
7. SHAIME 5 $41.00 $6.25 $23.92
6. SANTA ANA MOON 13 $51.00 $6.75 $24.79
Favourite record at CRANBOURNE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.75) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 51% 84% 37*
2.00–2.49 28% 70% 40*
2.50–3.49 this race 42% 69% 62
3.50–4.99 23% 36% 22*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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