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DARWIN

R1 2:47 PM R2 3:29 PM R3 4:19 PM R4 4:57 PM R5 5:35 PM

Race 1

2:47 PM
1300m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st LADY FIREBALL
2nd PRINCE OF SPARTA 📍 Place Pick
3rd MY LUNA
4th MACAVERTY
✅ Place bet landed — PRINCE OF SPARTA ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
5
PRINCE OF SPARTA P $1.28
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
7
LONG REIGN W $5.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. PRINCE OF SPARTA FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.75 $1.28 $5.28
7. LONG REIGN 7 $5.50 $1.85 $6.44
4. PERFECT LINK 8 $5.50 $1.85 $7.18
6. LADY FIREBALL 1 $8.00 $2.40 $8.86
2. MACAVERTY 2 $8.00 $2.40 $9.12
3. OPULENT OSCAR 6 $9.00 $2.60 $10.59
1. BRAVE HERITAGE 9 $16.00 $3.80 $12.61
9. MY LUNA 5 $14.00 $3.50 $15.46
8. MILK FOAM 4 $34.00 $5.75 $18.16
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.75) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 59% 88% 32*
2.00–2.49 42% 77% 52*
2.50–3.49 this race 34% 67% 73
3.50–4.99 27% 61% 33*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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