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DARWIN

R1 2:47 PM R2 3:29 PM R3 4:19 PM R4 4:57 PM R5 5:35 PM

Race 4

4:57 PM
1100m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st MODS
2nd WARREGO
3rd PAFITIS 💡 Saver
4th DAMO DAYZ
❌ Unplaced — DEBATING didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — PAFITIS ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
3
DEBATING P $1.34
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
7
PAFITIS W $10.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. DEBATING FAV TOP RATED 7 $3.00 $1.34 $5.04
9. SI SENORA 10 $6.00 $2.10 $7.75
8. MODS 9 $7.00 $2.35 $8.81
2. DAMO DAYZ 5 $7.00 $2.30 $9.95
7. PAFITIS 4 $10.00 $2.90 $10.63
4. WARREGO 12 $11.00 $3.20 $11.40
1. MEET ME AT THE BAR 13 $8.50 $2.60 $11.41
6. PREDICTING 2 $14.00 $3.70 $12.75
10. FIELD OF PRAISE 3 $21.00 $4.60 $16.30
11. ZOUTARA 1 $26.00 $5.25 $20.22
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.00) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 59% 88% 32*
2.00–2.49 42% 77% 52*
2.50–3.49 this race 34% 67% 73
3.50–4.99 27% 61% 33*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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