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NEWCASTLE

R1 12:50 PM R2 1:25 PM R3 2:05 PM R4 2:40 PM R5 3:15 PM R6 3:50 PM R7 4:30 PM

Race 1

12:50 PM
2100m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st ASTROGAZER
2nd SMART JAZZ
3rd D'ORO CHOICE
4th SOUND AND VISION (NZ) 💡 Saver
❌ Unplaced — QUESTIONABLE didn't feature
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
7
QUESTIONABLE P $1.40
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
2
SOUND AND VISION (NZ) W $8.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
7. QUESTIONABLE FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.75 $1.40 $3.59
6. ASTROGAZER 2 $2.90 $1.40 $4.15
8. SMART JAZZ 1 $8.00 $3.30 $5.13
2. SOUND AND VISION (NZ) 8 $8.00 $3.10 $9.11
3. D'ORO CHOICE 7 $7.00 $2.80 $10.03
1. LINE OF FIRE 4 $14.00 $4.60 $13.10
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.75) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 49% 80% 45*
2.00–2.49 40% 79% 52*
2.50–3.49 this race 36% 68% 78
3.50–4.99 27% 50% 44*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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