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NEWCASTLE

R1 12:50 PM R2 1:25 PM R3 2:05 PM R4 2:40 PM R5 3:15 PM R6 3:50 PM R7 4:30 PM

Race 3

2:05 PM
1150m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st KERMITISAPET
2nd ALBERT'S PICK
3rd DAYU
4th STEEL KNIGHT 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — STEEL KNIGHT didn't feature
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
1
STEEL KNIGHT W $2.15·P $1.03
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. STEEL KNIGHT FAV TOP RATED 8 $2.15 $1.03 $3.28
3. SEDUCTRA 9 $2.25 $1.03 $3.61
8. KERMITISAPET 4 $6.50 $1.36 $6.37
10. ALBERT'S PICK 7 $23.00 $3.25 $13.13
6. BLUE SUEDE HOOVES 3 $23.00 $3.25 $15.09
9. LILY BOBTAIL 1 $51.00 $4.80 $17.27
12. TREAD THE BOARDS 10 $101.00 $6.75 $29.82
13. DAYU 6 $91.00 $6.50 $36.14
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.15) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 49% 80% 45*
2.00–2.49 this race 40% 79% 52*
2.50–3.49 36% 68% 78
3.50–4.99 27% 50% 44*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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