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HAWKESBURY

R1 12:15 PM R2 12:50 PM R3 1:25 PM R4 2:05 PM R5 2:40 PM R6 3:20 PM R7 3:55 PM R8 4:30 PM

Race 5

2:40 PM
1800m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st MALBORK CASTLE
2nd BEARINGS (NZ)
3rd HUSSY LA VISTA
4th IVY LEGEND (NZ)
❌ Unplaced — HE'S GOT GRUNT didn't feature
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
4
HE'S GOT GRUNT P $1.26
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
10
DERRY CITY FELIX W $6.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. HE'S GOT GRUNT FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.75 $1.26 $4.13
2. MALBORK CASTLE 11 $4.60 $1.55 $6.55
10. DERRY CITY FELIX 5 $6.00 $1.90 $7.59
8. MY CARTOUCHE 2 $9.00 $2.45 $9.53
5. C'MON FLYER 1 $8.50 $2.35 $9.92
3. BEARINGS (NZ) 7 $10.00 $2.65 $10.96
7. IVY LEGEND (NZ) 8 $14.00 $3.30 $12.55
9. HUSSY LA VISTA 4 $19.00 $4.00 $13.27
11. QUEEN TAVANE (NZ) 6 $126.00 $13.00 $47.28
Favourite record at HAWKESBURY ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.75) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 53% 83% 30*
2.00–2.49 36% 85% 39*
2.50–3.49 this race 25% 67% 60
3.50–4.99 19% 71% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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