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WARWICK FARM

R1 2:00 PM R2 2:35 PM R3 3:10 PM R4 3:45 PM R5 4:20 PM R6 4:55 PM

Race 4

3:45 PM
1100m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st MANUKAU 💡 Saver
2nd SHADY ROAD
3rd ELLIPSIS 📍 Place Pick
4th KUJENGA
✅ Place bet landed — ELLIPSIS ran a place
✅ Saver won — MANUKAU finished 1st
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
2
ELLIPSIS P $1.65
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
6
MANUKAU W $8.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. ELLIPSIS FAV TOP RATED 2 $4.60 $1.65 $5.61
11. BALLET D'LIGHT 6 $4.60 $1.65 $5.83
3. SCENIC POINT 7 $4.80 $1.70 $6.19
5. SHADY ROAD 5 $5.00 $1.75 $8.44
6. MANUKAU 4 $8.50 $2.45 $9.07
7. HELLABELLA 3 $16.00 $3.90 $12.65
10. FOUND THE GOLD 9 $31.00 $5.50 $18.07
4. KUJENGA 1 $17.00 $4.00 $18.58
8. SHOW BUSINESS 8 $21.00 $4.40 $20.66
9. PREMIUM 11 $91.00 $9.50 $42.94
Favourite record at WARWICK FARM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($4.60) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 48% 95% 21*
2.00–2.49 53% 78% 32*
2.50–3.49 39% 65% 54*
3.50–4.99 this race 12% 52% 25*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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