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WARWICK FARM

R1 2:00 PM R2 2:35 PM R3 3:10 PM R4 3:45 PM R5 4:20 PM R6 4:55 PM

Race 5

4:20 PM
1400m ยท 10 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st LOVE STORY โญ Best Bet
2nd LIVE
3rd GLASTONBURY GIRL
4th REFLECT
โœ… Best Bet won โ€” LOVE STORY finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
6
LOVE STORY W $1.28
win โญ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite โ€” market and model in agreement.
4
CHILLI MARGS (NZ) P $1.95
Saver ยท place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. LOVE STORY FAV TOP RATED 8 $1.28 $1.02 $2.22
4. CHILLI MARGS (NZ) 9 $10.00 $1.95 $8.49
8. LIVE 2 $17.00 $2.75 $14.28
3. REFLECT 1 $15.00 $2.50 $14.33
1. DIDDLE DUMPLING 4 $16.00 $2.60 $14.63
7. GLASTONBURY GIRL 10 $26.00 $3.70 $17.23
10. CRATHIE KIRK 3 $34.00 $4.20 $19.45
11. BLITZGAL 7 $26.00 $3.75 $22.74
9. PERFORMANCE 5 $41.00 $4.60 $23.71
5. IT'S A WONDER 11 $71.00 $6.00 $36.27
Favourite record at WARWICK FARM โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50โ€“1.99 48% 95% 21*
2.00โ€“2.49 53% 78% 32*
2.50โ€“3.49 39% 65% 54*
3.50โ€“4.99 12% 52% 25*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.