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PAKENHAM

R1 4:45 PM R2 5:15 PM R3 5:45 PM R4 6:15 PM R5 6:45 PM R6 7:15 PM R7 7:45 PM R8 8:15 PM

Race 1

4:45 PM

1600m · 6 runners

📍 Our record & guide for Southside Racing Pakenham ›

🏁 Result

1st FINE AND SUNNY

2nd VIKING KID ⭐ Best Bet

3rd ENDEMIC 💡 Saver

4th PIERROBID

〰️ Best Bet placed — VIKING KID ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver placed — ENDEMIC ran a place

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

VIKING KID W $1.85

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

ENDEMIC P $1.55

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
6. VIKING KID FAV TOP RATED	2	$1.85	$1.20	$2.76
10. ENDEMIC	4	$3.60	$1.55	$4.58
11. FINE AND SUNNY	1	$6.50	$2.60	$6.24
12. VIA THERESA	3	$6.00	$2.40	$7.04
3. PIERROBID	9	$21.00	$5.50	$16.65
8. YOUR IT	8	$34.00	$7.00	$17.39

Favourite record at PAKENHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.85) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
1.50–1.99 this race	62%	81%	53*
2.00–2.49	33%	71%	48*
2.50–3.49	36%	75%	108
3.50–4.99	8%	47%	53*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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