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LAUNCESTON

R1 4:25 PM R2 5:00 PM R3 5:30 PM R4 6:00 PM R5 6:30 PM R6 7:00 PM R7 7:30 PM R8 8:00 PM R9 8:30 PM R10 9:00 PM

Race 4

6:00 PM
1200m · 12 runners
🏁 Result
1st KION'S KINGDOM
2nd KING CANDY
3rd MR TOD
4th GEEGEES AVALANCHE 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — GEEGEES AVALANCHE didn't feature
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
3
GEEGEES AVALANCHE W $2.40·P $1.26
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. GEEGEES AVALANCHE FAV TOP RATED 10 $2.40 $1.26 $3.96
4. KION'S KINGDOM 8 $3.50 $1.38 $5.62
10. MISS STRAT 6 $7.50 $2.35 $8.67
13. CREAMY PINT 3 $8.50 $2.50 $10.82
11. KING CANDY 2 $11.00 $2.90 $11.23
12. CHAMPAGNE ROCKET 9 $20.00 $4.40 $14.61
6. TRICKY BOY 7 $23.00 $4.50 $18.58
1. ALPINE ALFIE 11 $19.00 $4.20 $18.87
5. MR TOD 1 $34.00 $5.75 $25.46
8. CONSCIOUS BIAS 12 $91.00 $9.50 $44.76
9. GLOBAL MIRACLE 13 $151.00 $14.00 $52.40
7. BASSEIN 4 $126.00 $13.00 $58.89
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.40) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 52% 86% 29*
2.00–2.49 this race 26% 79% 38*
2.50–3.49 32% 68% 56*
3.50–4.99 17% 55% 29*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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