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NEWCASTLE

R1 12:04 PM R2 12:44 PM R3 1:24 PM R4 2:04 PM R5 2:45 PM R6 3:26 PM R7 4:04 PM R8 4:44 PM

Race 2

12:44 PM
1300m ยท 10 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st HIDDEN NEWS
2nd RAIN DELAY โญ Best Bet
3rd BAROSSA
4th ESCALOPECAN
ใ€ฐ๏ธ Best Bet placed โ€” RAIN DELAY ran a place (win bet missed)
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
RAIN DELAY W $1.75
win โญ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite โ€” market and model in agreement.
3
LANDING GEAR P $1.70
Saver ยท place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. RAIN DELAY FAV TOP RATED 10 $1.75 $1.07 $2.92
3. LANDING GEAR 5 $6.00 $1.70 $7.66
7. ARTHUR PARK 1 $9.00 $2.30 $10.44
8. BAROSSA 2 $12.00 $2.70 $10.86
14. ESCALOPECAN 3 $12.00 $2.75 $10.95
11. INCREMENTAL 8 $13.00 $2.80 $11.10
4. HIDDEN NEWS 7 $23.00 $4.00 $14.76
10. CADMEAN 4 $20.00 $3.80 $19.58
5. AMAZONE 13 $71.00 $7.00 $44.24
13. THE CIRCLE 6 $126.00 $10.00 $61.35
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.75) sits in the 1.50โ€“1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50โ€“1.99 this race 47% 80% 49*
2.00โ€“2.49 42% 79% 53*
2.50โ€“3.49 35% 69% 80
3.50โ€“4.99 27% 51% 45*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.