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NEWCASTLE

R1 12:04 PM R2 12:44 PM R3 1:24 PM R4 2:04 PM R5 2:45 PM R6 3:26 PM R7 4:04 PM R8 4:44 PM

Race 3

1:24 PM
1900m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st C'MON FLYER 💡 Saver
2nd RING AHOY
3rd ANGEL FEET (NZ)
4th DANCE DANCE DANCE
❌ Unplaced — FIOPROSPERO didn't feature
✅ Saver won — C'MON FLYER finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
FIOPROSPERO W $1.55
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
4
C'MON FLYER P $2.50
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. FIOPROSPERO FAV TOP RATED 5 $1.55 $1.08 $2.51
4. C'MON FLYER 3 $7.00 $2.50 $6.60
2. LENSMAN 2 $9.50 $3.25 $7.62
3. ANGEL FEET (NZ) 7 $9.00 $3.10 $9.57
6. RING AHOY 6 $10.00 $3.40 $11.25
7. DANCE DANCE DANCE 8 $18.00 $4.80 $13.10
8. IN ISO 4 $31.00 $6.50 $20.29
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.55) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 47% 80% 49*
2.00–2.49 42% 79% 53*
2.50–3.49 35% 69% 80
3.50–4.99 27% 51% 45*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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