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BALLARAT

R1 12:30 PM R2 1:00 PM R3 1:30 PM R4 2:00 PM R5 2:30 PM R6 3:00 PM R7 3:30 PM R8 4:00 PM

Race 4

2:00 PM
1600m ยท 10 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st MARCO POLO (NZ)
2nd TEMPERED EDGE
3rd URBAN CREED
4th BELLE FLAMME ๐Ÿ’ก Saver
โŒ Unplaced โ€” BEST TERMS didn't feature
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win โ€” place or pass.
1
BEST TERMS P $1.22
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
8
BELLE FLAMME W $12.00
Saver ยท small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form โ€” a saver, not a sure thing.
Model and market disagree. Our top-rated runner isn't the market favourite โ€” we rate a different runner ahead of it. A genuine difference of opinion, so tread carefully.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. BEST TERMS TOP RATED 5 $2.80 $1.22 $4.12
7. WHISKEY AND WAR (NZ) FAV 2 $2.60 $1.22 $4.36
3. MARCO POLO (NZ) 3 $5.50 $1.60 $6.99
8. BELLE FLAMME 1 $12.00 $2.70 $9.52
4. PNEUMA 4 $17.00 $3.50 $11.82
6. URBAN CREED 6 $15.00 $3.25 $14.64
5. TEMPERED EDGE 7 $20.00 $3.90 $15.91
11. ROLL WITH IT 11 $101.00 $8.50 $37.12
10. MARK'S MAGUS 9 $91.00 $8.00 $48.96
9. KATIYA 10 $151.00 $12.00 $60.47
Favourite record at BALLARAT โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.60) sits in the 2.50โ€“3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50โ€“1.99 59% 85% 34*
2.00โ€“2.49 43% 64% 42*
2.50โ€“3.49 this race 35% 64% 97
3.50โ€“4.99 23% 59% 61

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.