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MORPHETTVILLE

R1 11:52 AM R2 12:27 PM R3 1:02 PM R4 1:42 PM R5 2:22 PM R6 3:02 PM R7 3:42 PM R8 4:22 PM R9 5:10 PM

Race 5

2:22 PM
1250m ยท 12 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for Morphettville Racecourse โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st STOMP'EM
2nd DAMPEN
3rd BIG BRUTE
4th STOCKMAN'S CHOICE
โŒ Unplaced โ€” VIRTUAL ILLUSION didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
VIRTUAL ILLUSION W $1.85
win โญ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite โ€” market and model in agreement.
12
CAPTAIN HAPPY P $2.45
Saver ยท place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. VIRTUAL ILLUSION FAV TOP RATED 9 $1.85 $1.12 $3.61
12. CAPTAIN HAPPY 6 $8.50 $2.45 $7.45
1. FROM THE BLOCK 3 $9.00 $2.50 $8.64
10. TOUGH TALK 8 $10.00 $2.70 $10.70
13. DAMPEN 5 $16.00 $3.90 $11.79
3. BIG BRUTE 4 $17.00 $3.90 $16.07
7. STOMP'EM 1 $23.00 $4.60 $18.14
11. STOCKMAN'S CHOICE 2 $26.00 $4.80 $21.97
2. DELIGHTFUL SHECKY 10 $26.00 $4.80 $25.85
9. THEBIGSOSSO 11 $26.00 $4.80 $26.76
5. FALAISE 7 $61.00 $8.50 $31.55
8. TALENT SCOUT 12 $71.00 $9.50 $41.95
Favourite record at MORPHETTVILLE โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.85) sits in the 1.50โ€“1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50โ€“1.99 this race 39% 75% 28*
2.00โ€“2.49 42% 79% 53*
2.50โ€“3.49 27% 62% 128
3.50โ€“4.99 24% 49% 109

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.